Mini-Symposium 7:

Non-Probabilistic Modelling and Analysis of Uncertainty


In practical engineering, all structures exhibit physical and geometrical uncertainties in various degrees. These sources of uncertainty are usually modelled by probabilistic or non-probabilistic methods. The most widely used are certainly the probabilistic approaches which treat the uncertain parameters as random variables or random processes (or fields). However, the applicability of these methods is limited by the large amount of information required to determine the probability density function of the uncertain parameters. In most engineering problems, experimental data are often insufficient to justify the assumptions in constructing a probabilistic model which therefore may lead to unreliable results. The increasing popularity of non-probabilistic approaches, such as interval analysis methods and fuzzy set theory, stems from the questionable reliability estimates provided by probabilistic methods when limited information on the uncertain parameters is available.

This mini-symposium aims at providing a forum for researchers, academics and practicing engineers concerned with the analysis of structural systems in presence of non-probabilistic uncertainties.

Contributions addressing the following topics are welcome:

  1. Interval analysis of structures subjected to deterministic or stochastic excitations;
  2. Convex models of uncertainties;
  3. Fuzzy set modelling and analysis of structures;
  4. Structural reliability in presence of uncertainties;
  5. Sensitivity analysis;
  6. Structural Reanalysis.


Isaac Elishakoff
Department of Ocean and Mechanical Engineering, Florida Atlantic University, USA.
Giuseppe Muscolino
Department of Civil, Information, Building, Environmental Engineering and Applied Mathematics (DICIEAMA), University of Messina,Italy.
Alba Sofi
Department of Civil, Energy, Environmental and Materials Engineering (DICEAM), University Mediterranea of Reggio Calabria, Italy.
Return to list of accepted mini-symposia...

ICVRAM2014 Conference timeline:

30th November 2013:
ASCE Full paper submission
15th February 2014:
Deposit and/or early bird registration deadline
1st of May 2014:
Full paper submission (not included in the ASCE proceedings)
1st June 2014:
Scientific programme
13th-16th July 2014:
View photos of the ASCE-ICVRAM-ISUMA 2014